Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...
Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...
The chance of rain, shown on a weather app, is given as a percentage. This is a relative frequency, based on real data. The chance of rain, shown on a weather app, is given as a percentage. This is a ...
"Yes or no: was there once life on Mars?" I can't say. "What about intelligent life?"' That seems most unlikely, but again, I can't really say. The simple yes-or-no framework has no place for shadings ...