People are using Kalshi and Polymarket to put money on a few things related to Donald Trump's State of the Union address. See the odds from the bets.

A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly ...

To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...